The large inflows led to persistent changes in the sectoral composition of the local economy. hbbd``b`*@q`$3DY $,> L@)"3` 2 Michael Peters Economics SSRN Electronic Journal 2021 Virtually all theories of economic growth predict a positive relationship between population size and productivity. J. Blaum, Claire Lelarge, Michael Peters Published 1 December 2016 Economics ERN: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior in Open Economies (Topic) Firms differ substantially in their participation in foreign input markets. Peters, Michael and Alp Simsek (2009), Solutions Manual for "Introduction to Modern Economic Growth", Princeton University Press. A research summary and interview look at new work on the economic consequences of a large refugee settlement after World War II. Fertility rates in most of the developed world have already declined below 2 and we see the same trends in developing countries. Department of Economics, University of Chicago - Cited by 9,241 - Macroeconomics - Economic Growth - Firm Dynamics - Entrepreneurship - Innovation . Michael Peters, Yale - Department of Economics Michael Peters, Yale Home Michael Peters, Yale When September 18, 2017 4:00 pm -5:30 pm Where 613 Kern Michael Peters from Yale will present "Spatial Structural Change". For example, the recent influx of immigrants from Syria to Germany was pre-dominantly directed towards cities. Box 21345, New . About; Graduate; IDE-MA Program; Undergraduate; Events; Research; Centers; P.O. Large and persistent increase in the size of the local population; It spurred local industrialization by increasing labor in the manufacturing sector and decreasing labor in the agriculture sector; and. hb```f``} cf`ah`.d0 Understanding better what the likely economic effects of this unprecedented change are going to be seems very important to me. Michael Peters Economics Department, Yale University Verified email at yale.edu Teresa Fort Associate Professor, Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth, NBER, CEPR Verified email at tuck.dartmouth.edu Peter K. Schott Juan Trippe Professor of Economics, Yale School of Management & NBER & CEPR Verified email at yale.edu This is in stark contrast to most episodes of voluntary migration, both in the modern era and in the past. Peters,M. It was a real pleasure to talk with Mohamed El-Erian and cover a wide range of topics from economic . Finally, he studied the process of structural change, both in the US in the past and for present-day India, emphasizing the consequences on inequality across both people and space. He has worked on theories of firm-dynamics, highlighting the role of markups for misallocation, the importance of managerial delegation for firm growth, and the consequences of falling population growth. Business dynamism - namely job reallocation, firm entry and creative destruction - is declining. With leading researchers in economic theory, econometrics, international economics, and macroeconomics, the Economics Department at Penn State is an outstanding department. Yale University - Department of Economics; Yale University - Cowles Foundation. Tuntex Professor of International and Development Economics, Yale University - Cited by 19,147 - Macroeconomic Development - Economic Growth and Development - China's Economic Development - Family Economics - Macroeconomics . Michael Peters | Yale Economic Growth Center Home People Michael Peters Faculty Associate Professor of Economics Contact P. 203-436-8475 E. m.peters@yale.edu Expertise Development Economics, International Trade, Macroeconomics Website Download C.V. To make corrections to the bibliographic information of a particular item, find the technical contact on the abstract page of that item. ", Michael Peters & Ralph A. Business dynamism - namely job reallocation, firm entry and creative destruction - 20 PDF View 7 excerpts, cites results and methods Michael Peters from Yale will present Spatial Structural Change. The system can't perform the operation now. For example, after refugee settlement, the manufacturing sector expanded and stayed higher many years after refugees arrived. View Michael Peters' profile on LinkedIn, the world's largest professional community. Start your day off right, with a Dayspring Coffee Author(s) Michael Peters. At a very general level, I am pretty confident that population density leads to higher productivity and there is a large empirical literature in urban economics that provides evidence for this to be the case. This work allowed him to quantify the effect of the refugee settlement on aggregate income and study how the government policy of sending refugees to the countryside might ignite and maintain rural industrialization. Title. Research - Michael Peters Publications Sprouting Cities: How Rural America Industrialized (with Fabian Eckert and John Juneau ) [American Economic Review P&P, forthcoming] Between 1880 to 1940, the US transformed from a largely agrarian to an industrialized economy. My results are consistent with this literature, even though my analysis takes a long-run view, which is I think more novel. 37 (2), pages 281-306, November. My research interests are in micro theory, especially the theory of competing mechanisms, and the theory of directed search. ", Peters, Michael & Severinov, Sergei, 2006. For the case of India, service-led growth was an important driver of risingliving standard. All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. January 2021 CFP 1710 Author(s) Michael Peters. [8] The model can be solved analytically and allows for a precise theoretical characteri-zation of the underlying determinants of market power and its macroeconomic conse-quences. ", Peters, Michael & Szentes, Balazs, 2009. By building a solid foundation in the mechanics of preparing and analyzing financial statements, performance measurement (Return on Equity), and decision-making with the help of data analytics, Financial Accounting, 11th Edition helps students better prepare to be effective and successful business professionals. Virtual. However, these gains were heavily skewed toward high-income households living in urban districts. ", Sergei Severinov & Michael Peters, 2004. interests: Trade, Economic Geography, and Macroeconomics contact: . I would love to see more quantitative work on the consequences of migration that takes such differences into account. The link between market size and productivity has always been a central aspect in the field but there was relatively little empirical work. Together with my colleague Costas Arkolakis and Sun Kyoung Lee at Michigan, we work on a project on the link between migration and economic development in the US between 1880 and 1920 where we try to carefully measure differences in innovation potential between migrants from different countries. The following articles are merged in Scholar. armed forces vacation club for veterans 082 825 4557; welsh keith brymer jones wife zapperstore.xyz@gmail.com hWR8~}aU)$pnf[=dXdf3 #LZ%HOKqe;sLX"e"a.j0&5uB0tpV p?dc>'53i[C^kq6C_jQylAt;23].8^AQx>nsl?Xge1Wp\g>. ", Michael Peters & Sergei Severinov, 2008. The findings echo Acemoglu et al. The emergence of new cities in Rural America played a big part for this transition. But even within the US there are vast regional differences in the type of migrants that settle in different areas. Market Size and Spatial GrowthEvidence From Germany's Post-War Population Expulsions, Lack of Selection and Limits to Delegation: Firm Dynamics in Developing Countries, Heterogeneous Markups, Growth, and Endogenous Misallocation. For example, the US Military Government in Bavaria, published an internal report which explicitly discussed how the arrival of the refugees in rural Bavaria presented opportunities for firms to move to locations near idle workers. Office Address 87 Trumbull Street, Room B221 CV Website Michael Peters is an Associate Professor of Economics at Yale University, a Faculty Research Fellow of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and a Research Affiliate at the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR). I think there are so many related interesting and important questions to work on. At the same time, the historical sources were full of anecdotes, which seemed to point at exactly the mechanism I wanted to explore. In particular, refugee settlement seemed to have ignited the process of industrialization in agricultural communities. Professor email Michael.Peters@ubc.ca phone 604 822 4418 location_on Iona Building 108 launch Personal Website file_download Download CV Research Area Theory About I am a Professor in the Vancouver School of Economics. His research mostly focuses on macroeconomics, economic development and growth, and international trade. Being from Germany myself, one hears lots of stories about the WW2 expulsion. 2038 MICHAEL PETERS products and markup-reducing product churning through creative destruction shape the equilibrium distribution of markups. How do local economies respond to large increases to the size of their population? , & Michael Peters [NBER WP #26770] peer-reviewed publications: The Return to Big City Experience [04/22] w/ Mads Hejlesen . The breakthrough came at visit to Stanford, when I realized that the Hoover Institute had hundreds of old microfilms of the data the US military government collected in the late 1940s and 1950s. Michael Peters Published 1 October 2021 Economics SSRN Electronic Journal Virtually all theories of economic growth predict a positive relationship between population size and productivity. Follow. American Economic Journal . Like Tweet Share. Macroeconomics Economic Growth Urban Economics. Comprehensive cases at the end of the text have been hand-picked by the authors to go hand-in-hand . Ming Xu. Department of Economics Yale University 28 Hillhouse Avenue New Haven, CT 06511 Tel: (203) 436-8475 At the end of the Second World War, the governments of the United States, the United Kingdom, and Russia expelled millions of ethnic Germans from Eastern Europe and transferred them to West Germany and the Soviet Occupied Zone. Phone (613) 533-2250 Fax (613) 533-6668 Email https . These results provide direct evidence on the link between population growth, industrialization, and subsequent income growth. In his work on growth and economic geography, he analyzed the long-run consequences of large-scale migration, both in post-war Germany and for the US in the 19th century. Winter, 1983. Queen's University Dunning Hall, Room 209 94 University Avenue Kingston, Ontario K7L 3N6. He received his PhD from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and held an Assistant Professor position at the London School of Economics before joining Yale. ", Peters, Michael & Severinov, Sergei, 1997. endstream endobj startxref 0 %%EOF 43 0 obj <>stream And they, luckily, had taken pictures of the old census publications, which I could digitize. U Akcigit, H Alp, M Peters. Note that if the versions have a very similar title and are in the author's profile, the links will usually be created automatically. Please note that most corrections can take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services. See all articles by Michael Peters Michael Peters. guided by a fundamental trade-off: Operating in productive locations increases output per worker, but sharing a labor market with other productive firms makes it hard to poach and retain workers. Students are exposed to detailed descriptions of 'how to' embark on a new venture in a logical manner. Yale. We argue this trend has important consequences for creative destruction, product concentration, and firm dynamics. We develop a methodology to measure the aggregate effects of input trade that takes such heterogeneity into account. 0q$D~;4} AF@D m endstream endobj 20 0 obj <> endobj 21 0 obj <> endobj 22 0 obj <>stream Sort by citations Sort by year Sort by title. Footer Menu. 180 * 2021: Public profiles for Economics researchers, Curated articles & papers on economics topics, Upload your paper to be listed on RePEc and IDEAS, Pretend you are at the helm of an economics department, Data, research, apps & more from the St. Louis Fed, Initiative for open bibliographies in Economics, Have your institution's/publisher's output listed on RePEc, Matching by Luck or Search? ", Peters, Michael & Troncoso-Valverde, Cristin, 2013. Verified email at yale.edu. Students who receive a Ph.D. from Penn State and whose doctoral research is excellent have been recruited and sought after by leading academic and research institutions: our Ph.D. students have obtained tenure-track positions at Chicago, Harvard, Johns Hopkins, MIT, Northwestern, NYU, UPenn and many more. A departmentalhonors programprovides a small group of outstanding students an opportunity for independent research and close contact with faculty and fellow students. ", Michael Peters & Sergei Severinov, 1995. Social Menu. & Severinov,S., 2001. I started working on growth theory during my PhD at MIT. There are two different undergraduate degrees in the College of the Liberal Arts that a student may earn in economics at Penn State. Department of Economics. There, details are also given on how to add or correct references and citations. Michael Peters Economics 1995 This paper explores two models of an economy in which contracts are exchanged. In his work on growth and economic geography, he analyzed the long-run consequences of large-scale migration, both in post-war Germany and for the US in the 19th century. In this paper, I study a particular historical episode to provide direct evidence Expand 25 PDF Structural reforms to make the most of demographic change L. Mello Economics 2020 Skip to main content (2006). %PDF-1.5 % EU Economic Policy and Architecture after Covid, DP13700 Firm Size, Quality Bias and Import Demand, International Trade and Regional Economics, DP12237 Firm Size and the Intensive Margin of Import Demand, DP11721 The Gains from Input Trade with Heterogeneous Importers. firm and location productivity arecomplements and labor market frictions are sufficiently large. The department offers a program of mentoring for students who want to pursue graduate education in economics (CARE). Speaker(s) Location. In this paper, I study a particular historical episode to provide direct evidence for the empirical relevance of such scale effects. He received his PhD from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and held an Assistant Professor position at the London School of Economics before joining Yale. The Geography of Remote Work . The estimated model im- plies that the refugee settlement increased aggregate income per capita by about 12% after 25 years and triggered a process of industrialization in rural areas. target no need to return item. Cited by. Refugee settlement led to persistent increases in the local population, the share of people working in manufacturing, and income per capita. He has worked on theories of firm-dynamics, highlighting the role of markups for misallocation, the importance of managerial delegation for firm growth, and the consequences of falling population growth. New research by Yale Economist Michael Peters suggests that a large refugee settlement after World War II had three important consequences: The positive relationship between population size and productivity is at the heart of virtually all theories of economic growth. First, the German economy had just emerged from the Second World War and firm creation might have been particularly mobile across space. The ones marked, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 10 (4), 77-127, Journal of International Economics 120, 59-83, New articles related to this author's research, Research Assistant Professor of Economics, Boston University, Department of Economics, University of Chicago, Tuntex Professor of International and Development Economics, Yale University, Professor of Economics, London School of Economics, Professor of Economics, INSEAD, London School of Economics and College de France, Heterogeneous Markups, Growth, and Endogenous Misallocation, The gains from input trade with heterogeneous importers, Lack of selection and limits to delegation: firm dynamics in developing countries, Market size and spatial growth-evidence from germanys post-war population expulsions, Firm size, quality bias and import demand, A method to construct geographical crosswalks with an application to us counties since 1790, Growing Like India: The Unequal Effects of Service-Led Growth, Solutions manual for introduction to modern economic growth, European immigrants and the United States rise to the technological frontier, Creative Destruction, Distance to Frontier, and Economic Development, Sprouting Cities: How Rural America Industrialized, Discussion of The Matthew effectand market concentration: Search complementarities and monopsony power by Fernndez-Villaverde, Mandelman, Yu and Zanetti. Articles Cited by Co-authors. Economics Department, Yale University - Cited by 1,053 - Macroeconomics - Development Economics - Growth . Finally, he studied the process of structural change, both in the US in the past and for present-day India, emphasizing the consequences on inequality across both people and space. The first months where very discouraging because so little data seemed to have survived. In this paper, I study a particular historical episode to provide direct evidence for the empirical relevance of such scale effects. Michael Peters is an Associate Professor of Economics at Yale University and a Faculty Research Fellow at the NBER. Michael Peters Economics, Biology 2014 TLDR This paper provides a set of mechanisms that have the property that every outcome that can be supported as a Bayesian equilibrium in a competing mechanism game can be support as an equilibrium in reciprocal mechanisms. These mass migrations also led to a long-term increase in income-per-capita for the aggregate economy: a 10 percent increase in the share of refugees increased income per capita by roughly 56 percent after 15 years, and roughly 12 percent after 25 years. Before joining Yale University, he held a position at the London School of Economics. Sprouting Cities: How Rural America Industrialized, MarketSize and Spatial Growth -Evidence from Germany's Post-WarPopulation Expulsions, Heterogeneous Markups, Growth and Endogenous Misallocation, Firm Size, Quality Bias and Import Demand, The Gains From Input Trade with Heterogeneous Importers, Creative Destruction, Distance to Frontier, andEconomic Development, Growing Like India: The Unequal Effects of Service-Led Growth, Population Growth andFirm-Product Dynamics. What are the policy implications, if any, of this research? Michael Peters Economics Department, Yale University Verified email at . Research. What were the results? Their, This "Cited by" count includes citations to the following articles in Scholar. I think we need more work to understand what happens when the population shrinks. 6 October, 2021 4:00 pm-6:00 pm. Affiliation: Yale. American Economic Review 111 (1), 231-75, 2021. All Rights Reserved. Macroeconomics Development Economics Growth. He received his undergraduate degree in Economics at the University of Mannheim and his PhD from MIT. At least three aspects of this study seem particularly context specific. ", Celik, Gorkem & Peters, Michael, 2011. Lack of Selection and Limits to Delegation: Firm Dynamics in Developing Countries . In many developing countries, structural transformation takes the form of a rapid rise of services with limited industrialization. The program provides rigorous training in econometrics and quantitative economics as well as in economic theory. ", Peters, Michael & Severinov, Sergei, 2005. The US is clearly the prime example of a country that was able to attract high-skilled migrants for a good part of the last 150 years. In his research he focuses on economic growth and long-run economic development. Using variation across counties, I show that the settlement of refugees had large and persistent effects on the size of the local popula- tion, manufacturing employment, and income per capita. 19 0 obj <> endobj 28 0 obj <>/Filter/FlateDecode/ID[<70ADE99825F75C65B66EE155A86C2D05>]/Index[19 25]/Info 18 0 R/Length 64/Prev 76524/Root 20 0 R/Size 44/Type/XRef/W[1 2 1]>>stream . I am an Assistant Professor at the Department of Economics at the University of California, San Diego. So, at some point around 2010 I started to explore whether one could compile empirical evidence on this episode. ", Michael Peters & Sergei Severinov, 2001. Verified email at columbia.edu - Homepage. Is the rise of services only due to income effects or can growth be service-led? ", Peters, Michael & Troncoso-Valverde, Cristian, 2010. His research mostly focuses on macroeconomics, economic development and growth, and international trade. . Michael Peters Vancouver School of Economics University of British Columbia 600 Iona Drive Vancouver, Canada V6T 1L4 604-822-4418 peters econ ubc ca. J Blaum, C Lelarge, M Peters. Second, the refugees were allocated to rural areas and not to urban centers. CAPCP Center for the Study of Auctions, Procurements, and Competition Policy, CRIFES Center for Research on International Financial and Energy Security. Fabrizio Zilibotti. targets the more productive firms can be beneficial in poor countries while being harmful in countries close to the economic frontier. Michael Peters & Sergei Severinov, 2008. I am also a research affiliate at the CEPR and a faculty research fellow at the NBER. Finally, the 1950s and 1960s were characterized by a secular increase in the manufacturing sector. Most demographers expect the global population to decline starting by around 2065. At the heart of this analysis are West Germany population censuses for the years 1933, 1939, 1950, and 1961. Sort. 2 PDF A commitment folk theorem A. Kalai, E. Kalai, E. Lehrer, D. Samet Economics This inflow increased the German population by almost 20%. A minor in economics is open to students enrolled in any college. Michael Peters. New research by Yale Economist Michael Peters suggests that a large refugee settlement after World War II had three important consequences: Large and persistent increase in the size of the local population; It spurred local industrialization by increasing labor in the manufacturing sector and decreasing labor in the agriculture sector; and ", Celik, Gorkem & Peters, Michael, 2008. To estimate the relationship between refugee inflow and local economic development, Professor Peters constructed a data set from original historical sources for more than 500 West German counties since the 1930s. The Bulletin on Retirement and Disability, Productivity, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship, Boosting Grant Applications from Faculty at MSIs, Conference on Research in Income and Wealth, Early Indicators of Later Work Levels, Disease and Death, Improving Health Outcomes for an Aging Population, Measuring the Clinical and Economic Outcomes Associated with Delivery Systems, Retirement and Disability Research Center, The Roybal Center for Behavior Change in Health, Training Program in Aging and Health Economics, Transportation Economics in the 21st Century. Empirical Evidence from the Executive Labor Market, Reciprocal Relationships and Mechanism Design, Reciprocal relationships and mechanism design, Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'conomique, On the Revelation Principle and Reciprocal Mechanisms in Competing Mechanism Games, Other Regarding Preferences: Outcomes, Intentions, or Interdependence, Non-cooperative foundations of hedonic equilibrium, The Pre-Marital Investment Game: Addendum, Technical Appendix to Internet Auctions with Many Traders, Unobservable Heterogeneity in Directed Search, Internet Trading Mechanisms And Rational Expectations, Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings, Pure Strategies and No Externalities with Multiple Agents, Negotiation and Take it or Leave it in Common Agency, Negotiation and take it or leave it in common agency, Common Agency and the Revelation Principle, Limits of Exact Equilibria for Capacity Constrained Sellers with costlySearch, Limits of Exact Equilibria for Capacity Constrained Sellers with Costly Search, Competition Among Mechanism Designers in a Common Value Environment, Competition among mechanism designers in a common value environment, A Revelation Principle For Competing Mechanisms, A Revelation Principle for Competing Mechanisms, On the Equivalence of Walrasian and Non-Walrasian Equilibria in Contract Markets: The case of Complete Contracts, Competition Among Sellers who offer Auctions Instead of Prices, Competition among Sellers Who Offer Auctions Instead of Prices, Dynamic Monopoly Power When Search is Costly, Noncontractible Heterogeneity in Directed Search, Erratum to "Negotiation and take it or leave it in common agency": [Journal of Economic Theory 111 (2003) 88-109], Pure strategy and no-externalities with multiple agents, Decentralized Markets and Endogenous Institutions, Incentive-Consistent Matching Processes for Problems with ex Ante Pricing, Equilibrium Mechanisms in a Decentralized Market, On the Efficiency of Ex Ante and Ex Post Pricing Institutions, Ex Ante Price Offers in Matching Games Non-steady States, Research and development with publicly observable outcomes, Bertrand Equilibrium with Capacity Constraints and Restricted Mobility, Market Equilibrium and the Resolution of Uncertainty, Labour contracts in a stock market economy, Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor, Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor, Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors, Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors, Number of Citations, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor, Number of Citations, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor, Number of Citations, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor, Discounted by Citation Age, Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors, Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors, Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors, Discounted by Citation Age, Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors, Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors, Discounted by Citation Age, Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor, Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor, Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Number of Authors, Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors, Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors, Queen's Economics Department PhD Graduates, 1980 Economics Department; Queen's University (from, Li, Kun & Peters, Michael & Xu, Pai, 2013.

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